With the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Day approaching and the candidates running neck to neck, the stakes are sky-high: what if Trump or Harris wins?

n this special Election spotlight feature, we’ll explore both scenarios, delving into the potential implications for a key player in the markets – Tesla. As a trailblazer in the Electric Vehicle market, the automaker is at the intersection of innovation and opportunity, making it an essential stock in this Election conversation, as it stands to experience significant shifts depending on the policies of the incoming administration and its impact on the overall stock markets.

A Trump victory could be a game changer for the automaker. With policies like favourable corporate tax changes and relaxed regulations, this would be the time to invest in stocks that could see substantial gains, like Tesla. might bring favourable corporate tax changes and relaxed regulations, while a Harris win could usher in new incentives for electric vehicles. Each outcome presents unique opportunities and challenges for the stock.

Join us as we navigate the potential ripple effects on Tesla’s future and why this electric powerhouse remains at the forefront of the discussion!

Scenario 1: Trump Wins

Picture this: Donald Trump takes office. What does it mean for Tesla?

A Trump victory could be a game changer for the automaker. With policies favouring business, we might see significant corporate tax cuts, directly boosting Tesla’s bottom line and positively impacting related stocks. Less tax means more profit—it's as straightforward as that.

Regulatory flexibility

On the regulatory front, expect looser emission standards that could benefit Tesla stocks and reduce compliance costs related to pollution controls, as well as reporting requirements, freeing up valuable resources. For instance, reduced fines on emission caps would grant Tesla greater flexibility to innovate and grow. Imagine relaxed rules on waste, water, and energy use—streamlining operations and enhancing efficiency.

Enter Elon Musk 

And let's not overlook Elon Musk’s potential influence. If he rallies behind Trump, there’s chatter about him possibly leading a hypothetical ‘Department of Government Efficiency’. This could give Tesla and their stocks, along with his groundbreaking venture SpaceX, a regulatory advantage, reducing compliance hurdles and speeding up project approvals.

Speaking of SpaceX, the company already receives substantial support from President Joe Biden, along with funding from the U.S. government and NASA, which outsources certain jobs to SpaceX. Given Musk’s notable pro-Trump inclinations, he aims to secure even more state funding from a new Trump administration.

The threat from China

There are current concerns regarding Tesla’s competition with China. Many are asking: Are Chinese companies overtaking Tesla? The answer is yes, and this is a significant concern extending to the EV giant’s stock. Trump’s position on China may benefit Musk and his ventures, as Musk is focused on minimizing competition and ensuring that his businesses receive support from the administration.

Speaking of SpaceX, the company already receives substantial support from President Joe Biden, along with funding from the U.S. government and NASA, which outsources certain jobs to SpaceX. Given Musk’s notable pro-Trump inclinations, he aims to secure even more state funding from a new Trump administration.

Key factors

Lower taxes could enhance Tesla’s profit margins

Musk’s government involvement might shape a more favourable regulatory landscape

Scenario 2: Kamala wins

Now, flip the coin. If Kamala Harris wins, Tesla faces a different set of opportunities and challenges that will influence its stocks. Her strong focus on climate policy aligns perfectly with Tesla’s mission, potentially ushering in benefits like enhanced electric vehicle tax credits and increased funding for green infrastructure projects. This could provide Tesla with a distinct advantage over traditional automakers, bolstering its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving EV market.

The dual edge of environmental policies

However, it's not all smooth sailing. While these policies could incentivize growth, they might also introduce tougher environmental standards and higher emissions benchmarks. This could lead to increased compliance costs for Tesla, impacting its stocks, profit margins and operational flexibility. The balance between incentivizing green technology and enforcing stringent regulations will be crucial for Tesla’s success under a Harris administration.

Key factors

Possible introduction of tougher regulations for emissions.

Increased compliance expenses that could impact profit margins.

Trump vs. Harris: Which is best for Tesla?

When considering the future of Tesla, the paths laid out by Trump and Harris present distinct opportunities and challenges for those looking to explore Tesla shares.

A Trump victory likely paves the way for rapid expansion, as his administration’s policies could reduce regulatory hurdles that often slow progress. This environment could allow Tesla to innovate more freely, leading to accelerated growth and increased profitability.

On the other hand, a Harris win may focus on bolstering climate initiatives, offering enticing incentives for electric vehicles that could benefit Tesla in the long run. However, this comes with a potential downside: increased regulations. Stricter environmental standards could impose higher compliance costs on Tesla, impacting profit margins and operational flexibility.

What’s Next 

As we await the election results, the stakes are high, and the implications for Tesla stock could be monumental. Whether Trump’s victory brings rapid growth to Tesla, or Harris’s win fosters new climate incentives, the impact on Tesla’s future is sure to be significant.

Don’t forget, just 2 days after the election on November 7th, a critical interest rate decision will take place. The USD’s reaction in the aftermath will be particularly telling as investors digest the election results. To navigate potential volatility in the trading markets, traders will consider options as a strategic hedge to protect their investments.

Stay tuned—this election cycle is just heating up, and our next breakdown will provide further insights into what these political shifts mean for another major stock. With the future of Tesla hanging in the balance, keeping your finger on the pulse of these developments will be essential.